A THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS METHODOLOGY ON INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS WITHIN THE ENERGY SECTOR

Takalani Mashamba, Grace Mukondeleli Kanakana-Katumba, Rendani Wilson Maladzhi

Abstract


The energy sector is critical to a country's economic and social development. Due to economic growth in South Africa, the state-owned firm has witnessed a demand for power supply over the last 20 years. To alleviate the existing supply restriction, it is now implementing capital expansion build programs. The completion of this project has been delayed. Over the last two decades, there has been a lot of system-based study such as considerable research that uses system dynamics (SD) as an analytical and modelling approach. However, merely limited critical reviews have been conducted to provide understanding of SD application in infrastructure projects. We summarize and analyse current research on SD models in infrastructure construction projects in the energy sector in this study, which is based on a thorough systematic literature review. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) approach was used to conduct a search and only 15 studies out of 130 were found to be relevant. According to the findings of the literature analysis, four main feedback structures from prior SD project dynamics models have been recognized as major trends. Design errors, rework and change management, performance and effectiveness, resource management, and project planning and control are some of the topics covered.

Keywords


Electricity; Infrastructure; Review; Systems; System dynamics model

Full Text:

PDF

References


International Energy Agency, “Key World Energy Statistics 2020,” 2020.

Department of Mineral Resource and Energy, “Integrated Resource Plan,” 2019.

J. Brown, S. George, and J. Dillard, “Integrated reporting,” Eskom, 2020. https://www.eskom.co.za/IR2016/Pages/default.aspx

J. Wang and H. Yuan, “System Dynamics Approach for Investigating the Risk Effects on Schedule Delay in Infrastructure Projects,” Journal of Management in Engineering, vol. 33, no. 1, p. 04016029, Jan. 2017, doi: 10.1061/(asce)me.1943-5479.0000472.

P. X. W. Zou, G. Zhang, and J. Wang, “Understanding the key risks in construction projects in China,” International Journal of Project Management, vol. 25, no. 6, pp. 601–614, Oct. 2007, doi: 10.1016/j.ijproman.2007.03.001.

F. Nasirzadeh and P. Nojedehi, “Dynamic modeling of labor productivity in construction projects,” International Journal of Project Management, vol. 31, no. 6, pp. 903–911, 2013, doi: 10.1016/j.ijproman.2012.11.003.

F. A. Adero and W. O. Odiyo, “Leadership Theories and the Desired Competencies of the 21st Century Organization Leader,” International Journal of Business Management, Entrepreneurship and Innovation, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 16–35, Sep. 2020, doi: 10.35942/jbmed.v2i3.115.

J. D. Sterman, “The energy transition and the economy: A system dynamics Approach,” Massachusetts insitute of technology, 1981.

A. Gholizad, L. Ahmadi, E. Hassannayebi, M. Memarpour, and M. Shakibayifar, “A System Dynamics Model for the Analysis of the Deregulation in Electricity Market,” International Journal of System Dynamics Applications, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 1–30, Jan. 2017, doi: 10.4018/ijsda.2017040101.

S. P. Shepherd, “A review of system dynamics models applied in transportation,” Transportmetrica B, vol. 2, no. 2. Taylor and Francis Ltd., pp. 83–105, May 04, 2014. doi: 10.1080/21680566.2014.916236.

K. Cooper, G. Lee, and J. Sterman, “Managing the Dynamics of Projects and Changes at Fluor,” 2009.

X. Xu and P. X. W. Zou, “System dynamics analytical modeling approach for construction project management research: A critical review and future directions,” Frontiers of Engineering Management, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 17–31, Mar. 2021, doi: 10.1007/s42524-019-0091-7.

A. Padilla-Rivera, M. G. Paredes, and L. P. Güereca, “A systematic review of the sustainability assessment of bioenergy: The case of gaseous biofuels,” Biomass and Bioenergy, vol. 125. Elsevier Ltd, pp. 79–94, Jun. 01, 2019. doi: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2019.03.014.

A. G. Araújo, A. M. Pereira Carneiro, and R. P. Palha, “Sustainable construction management: A systematic review of the literature with meta-analysis,” Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 256. Elsevier Ltd, May 20, 2020. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120350.

M. Park and F. Pena-Mora, “Dynamic change management for construction: Introducing the change cycle into model-based project management,” Syst Dyn Rev, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 213–242, Sep. 2003, doi: 10.1002/sdr.273.

J. Sterman, “Business Dynamics, System Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World Climate Interactive and the C-ROADS Simulation View project Dynamic Models for Population (Routine) Screening: Understanding Long Term Trends in Policy Decisions of Clinical Practice Guid,” 2002.

A. Rodrigues and J. Bowers, “The role of system dynamics in project management,” 1996.

S. Lee, F. Peña-Mora, and M. Park, “Dynamic planning and control methodology for strategic and operational construction project management,” Autom Constr, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 84–97, Jan. 2006, doi: 10.1016/j.autcon.2005.02.008.

P. E. D. Love, P. Mandal, and H. Li, “Determining the causal structure of rework influences in construction,” Construction Management and Economics, vol. 17, no. 4, pp. 505–517, 1999, doi: 10.1080/014461999371420.

P. E. D. Love, G. D. Holt, L. Y. Shen, H. Li, and Z. Irani, “Using systems dynamics to better understand change and rework in construction project management systems,” International Journal of Project Management, vol. 20, no. 6, pp. 425–436, Aug. 2002, doi: 10.1016/S0263-7863(01)00039-4.

S. Lee and F. Pena-Mora, “System dynamics approach for error and change management in concurrent design and construction,” in Proceedings of the 2005 Winter Simulation Conference, 2005.

A. Dimitrovski, A. Ford, and K. Tomsovic, “An interdisciplinary approach to long-term modelling for power system expansion,” 2007.

P. E. D. Love, D. J. Edwards, and Z. Irani, “Forensic project management: An exploratory examination of the causal behavior of design-induced rework,” IEEE Trans Eng Manag, vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 234–247, 2008, doi: 10.1109/TEM.2008.919677.

Boateng, Chen, and Ogunlana, “A conceptual system dynamic model to describe the impacts of critical weather conditions in megaproject construction,” Journal of Construction Project Management and Innovation, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 208–224, 2012.

S. Han, P. Love, and F. Peña-Mora, “A system dynamics model for assessing the impacts of design errors in construction projects,” Math Comput Model, vol. 57, no. 9–10, pp. 2044–2053, May 2013, doi: 10.1016/j.mcm.2011.06.039.

G. P. Richardson, “Concept models in group model building,” Syst Dyn Rev, vol. 29, no. 1, pp. 42–55, Jan. 2013, doi: 10.1002/sdr.1487.

K. Reichelt and J. Lyneis, “The Dynamics of Project Performance: Benchmarking the Drivers of Cost and Schedule Overrun The Nature of Project Problems,” European Management Journal, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 135–150, 1999.

Lyneis, J. M, and D. N. Ford, “System dynamics applied to project management: a survey, assessment, and directions for future research,” Syst Dyn Rev, vol. 23, no. 3, pp. 157–189, 2007, doi: 10.1002/sdr.

S. O. Ogunlana, H. Li, and F. A. Sukhera, “System Dynamics Approach to Exploring Performance Enhancement in a Construction Organization,” Construction Management and Economics, 2003, doi: 10.1061/ASCE0733-93642003129:5528.

H. Qudrat-Ullah and P. I. Davidsen, “Understanding the dynamics of electricity supply, resources and pollution: Pakistan’s case,” 2001.

S. Chritamara, O. S.O, and N. L. Bach, “System dynamics modeling of design and build construction projects,” Construction innovation, pp. 269–295, 2002.

M. Park, “Model-based dynamic resource management for construction projects,” Autom Constr, vol. 14, no. 5, pp. 585–598, Oct. 2005, doi: 10.1016/j.autcon.2004.11.001.

I. Hristov and A. Chirico, “The Limits of the Balanced Scorecard,” Open J Soc Sci, vol. 04, no. 11, pp. 53–58, 2016, doi: 10.4236/jss.2016.411004.

J. Anto, “An empirical study of Enterprise Resource Planning systems in construction industry,” International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology, 2016.

N. Minami, L. Soto, and D. Rhodes, “Dynamic lean management of the naval construction process,” EMJ - Engineering Management Journal, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 36–43, Jun. 2010, doi: 10.1080/10429247.2010.11431862.

X. Zheng, Y. Le, A. P. C. Chan, Y. Hu, and Y. Li, “Review of the application of social network analysis (SNA) in construction project management research,” International Journal of Project Management, vol. 34, no. 7, pp. 1214–1225, Oct. 2016, doi: 10.1016/j.ijproman.2016.06.005.

S. Ahmad, R. Mat Tahar, F. Muhammad-Sukki, A. B. Munir, and R. Abdul Rahim, “Application of system dynamics approach in electricity sector modelling: A review,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 56. Elsevier Ltd, pp. 29–37, Apr. 01, 2016. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.11.034.

A. Leopold, “Energy related system dynamic models: a literature review,” Cent Eur J Oper Res, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 231–261, Mar. 2016, doi: 10.1007/s10100-015-0417-4.

M. Liu, Y. Le, Y. Hu, B. Xia, M. Skitmore, and X. Gao, “System dynamics modeling for construction management research: Critical review and future trends,” Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, vol. 25, no. 8, pp. 730–741, 2019, doi: 10.3846/jcem.2019.10518.

L. D. Nguyen and S. O. Ogunlana, “Modeling the dynamics of an infrastructure project,” Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 265–279, 2005, doi: 10.1111/j.1467-8667.2005.00392.

I. A. Motawa, C. J. Anumba, S. Lee, and F. Peña-Mora, “An integrated system for change management in construction,” Autom Constr, vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 368–377, May 2007, doi: 10.1016/j.autcon.2006.07.005.

S. Lisse, “Applying system dynamics for outsourcing services in design-build projects,” Journal of Project, Program & Portfolio Management, vol. 4, no. 2, p. 20, 2014, doi: 10.5130/pppm.v4i2.3196.

N. O. Ogano and L. Pretorius, “Analysis of policy options for projects in the electricity sector in sub- Saharan Africa: A system dynamics approach,” South African Journal of Industrial Engineering, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 20–35, 2016, doi: 10.7166/28-1-1607.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jemis.2023.011.01.1

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.